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A.I. Disruption, Not Deflation & Status of the Bull Cycle

By Schwab Network February 17, 2026 Neutral
A.I. Disruption, Not Deflation & Status of the Bull Cycle
Jack Janasiewicz says the market is no longer willing to give a "free pass" to Mag 7 companies and others spending on AI capex buildouts, adding the market is rewarding winners and punishing losers. Jack points to the rotation in to "old economy" sectors like Staples as a way to get out of the AI trade, but he's hesitant to say the markets are in a late cycle of the bull market.

AI Analysis

The market is transitioning from broad-based tech enthusiasm to a more discriminating evaluation of AI investments, signaling a potential rotation in sector leadership and investment strategy.

The artificial intelligence revolution is reshaping market dynamics, with investors no longer willing to offer blanket support to technology companies pursuing aggressive AI capex strategies. According to Jack Janasiewicz from the Schwab Network, the investment landscape is experiencing a critical pivot where market rotation is becoming increasingly nuanced.

Advanced AI semiconductor with illuminated circuit design showing technological innovation - Silver Intel

Janasiewicz's analysis suggests a fundamental shift in market sentiment, where technology firms are being scrutinized more rigorously for their AI investments. The days of automatic valuation premiums for Magnificent Seven companies appear to be waning, with investors now demanding demonstrable returns and strategic clarity around artificial intelligence investments.

The emerging market narrative centers on selective reward mechanisms - companies delivering tangible AI progress will be handsomely compensated, while those perceived as speculative or inefficient will face significant valuation pressures. This granular approach represents a maturation of the AI investment thesis, moving beyond initial hype cycles toward genuine economic value creation.

Interestingly, Janasiewicz points to a rotational trend toward traditional "old economy" sectors like Consumer Staples as investors seek alternative positioning. This movement suggests potential monetary policy flexibility could further influence sector performance in the coming quarters.

While hesitant to declare a late-stage bull market, the analyst's commentary implies a nuanced investment environment where discernment and strategic sector allocation will be critical. For precious metals investors, this suggests maintaining a diversified approach that balances technological exposure with traditional safe-haven assets.

Key Takeaways

Topics: AI investmentmarket rotationtechnology stockssector analysisinvestment strategy