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How Historical Oil Surges Influenced Equity Returns In The Following Year (It Doesn't Bode Well)

By Seeking Alpha March 18, 2026 Bearish
How Historical Oil Surges Influenced Equity Returns In The Following Year (It Doesn't Bode Well)
Historical analysis shows that when oil prices double rapidly, the S&P 500 typically suffers significant declines over the following 12 months. Current Middle East tensions and oil weaponization by Iran suggest oil prices could rise further, with $150 per barrel seen as a potential peak.
Historical analysis shows that when oil prices double rapidly, the S&P 500 typically suffers significant declines over the following 12 months. Current Middle East tensions and oil weaponization by Iran suggest oil prices could rise further, with $150 per barrel seen as a potential peak.