Trade Policy
Jamie McGeever: Oil shock turbocharges FX intervention risk in Asia
By Jamie McGeever
Reuters
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Several Asian countries, including India and the Philippines, have already intervened in the foreign exchange market to support their currencies since the Iran war broke out. They're unlikely to be the last.
Asia, which imports 60% of its crude oil from the Middle East, is the continent most exposed to the energy shock triggered by the Iran war. Brent crude prices have soared 55% since the conflict broke out on February 28.
... Dispatch contin
By Jamie McGeever
Reuters
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Several Asian countries, including India and the Philippines, have already intervened in the foreign exchange market to support their currencies since the Iran war broke out. They're unlikely to be the last.
Asia, which imports 60% of its crude oil from the Middle East, is the continent most exposed to the energy shock triggered by the Iran war. Brent crude prices have soared 55% since the conflict broke out on February 28.
... Dispatch continues below ...
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As a result, many Asian countries now potentially face a doom loop of rising energy costs, imported inflation, demand destruction, and weakening currencies that could spiral rapidly if not checked.
The MSCI emerging market currency index fell 3% in March, its worst month since September 2022. Several currencies from Asian countries running current account deficits unsurprisingly underperformed: India's rupee, Indonesia's rupiah, and the Philippine peso all slumped to record lows against the dollar.
But even nations with strong external balance sheets, like Japan and South Korea, have come under fire. ...
... For the remainder of the commentary:
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/oil-shock-turbocharges-asia-fx-intervention-risk-2026-04-07/
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Topics: oil shockFX interventionAsiaMiddle Eastcurrency