Investment Analysis
Myrmikan Capital's Daniel Oliver: Trump's gamble and gold
8:52p ET Friday, March 13, 2026
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
In his commentary today, Myrmikan Capital's Daniel Oliver reflects on the possible impact of the war in the Middle East on gold.
Oliver writes: "We do not like presenting only bullish scenarios -- gold and the gold miners are investments, not a belief system. And we caution that we have little insight or opinion on where gold can trade in the short term as liquidity flows push it around.
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8:52p ET Friday, March 13, 2026
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
In his commentary today, Myrmikan Capital's Daniel Oliver reflects on the possible impact of the war in the Middle East on gold.
Oliver writes: "We do not like presenting only bullish scenarios -- gold and the gold miners are investments, not a belief system. And we caution that we have little insight or opinion on where gold can trade in the short term as liquidity flows push it around.
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"In terms of value, however, it is not easy to see how the bull market in gold can end before the dollar system is radically overhauled. ...
"Trump likes huge risks. He is president because he has won more than his fair share. Toppling Iran is the biggest gamble of his career. Victory would reestablish American international power and diminish America's enemies, perhaps boosting the political value of the dollar to the detriment of gold.
"Trump's economic advisers actively seek a weaker dollar, however, and the Fed will soon have no choice but to begin printing to sustain federal deficit spending and to bail out the financial industry, which gold will love. And failure in Iran risks becoming an American Suez crisis, precipitating the final demise of the U.S. dollar."
Oliver's commentary is headlined "Trump's Gamble" and it can be found in PDF format at the Myrmikan internet site here:
https://www.myrmikan.com/pub/Myrmikan_Research_2026_03_13.pdf
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
[email protected]
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Topics: golddollarIranTrumpeconomy