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Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade

By Bloomberg Markets and Finance February 18, 2026 Bullish
Nouriel Roubini Expects Close to 4% US Growth by End of the Decade
Nouriel Roubini, chairman and CEO at Roubini Macro Associates, explains how the US gets to 4% economic growth in the next few years. He also discusses Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh's ability to deliver interest rate cuts and his outlook on unemployment and the need for redistribution of wealth by taxing the rich.

AI Analysis

Roubini's forecast suggests a fundamental restructuring of economic growth models, with technology and innovation as primary drivers. This outlook could significantly impact investment strategies across multiple sectors.

In a groundbreaking economic forecast, renowned economist Nouriel Roubini has signaled a potential paradigm shift in U.S. economic growth, predicting close to 4% growth by the end of the decade. This projection challenges traditional economic models and suggests a transformative period driven by technological innovation and strategic industrial development.

Roubini's optimism stems from a comprehensive analysis of emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, robotics, and quantum computing. His thesis suggests these technological strategic investments will fundamentally reshape economic productivity and potential growth rates.

The economist specifically highlighted several technological verticals that could drive this unprecedented growth, including fintech, material science, space exploration, and biomedical research. Notably, Roubini emphasized that these technologies are interconnected yet distinct, each presenting significant potential for economic expansion.

While many economists remain skeptical of such aggressive growth projections, Roubini remains confident. He argues that the United States is positioning itself strategically in a global technological race, particularly against critical mineral and technology investments from competitors like China.

For precious metals investors, Roubini's forecast suggests potential implications for industrial demand, particularly in sectors requiring advanced technological materials. The anticipated technological boom could drive increased demand for silver in electronics, solar panels, and advanced manufacturing processes.

The projection also carries significant monetary policy implications. Roubini challenged conventional thinking about interest rates, suggesting that higher potential growth might necessitate a recalibration of federal funds rates and long-term equilibrium rates.

As the decade unfolds, Roubini's "Dr. Boom" perspective offers a compelling narrative of technological-driven economic transformation, challenging traditional economic pessimism and presenting a roadmap for sustained, innovation-powered growth.

Key Takeaways

Topics: economic growthNouriel Roubinitechnological innovationUS economytech investment