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These Flawed Arguments Can Be Especially Misguiding In 2026

By Seeking Alpha February 25, 2026 Bearish
These Flawed Arguments Can Be Especially Misguiding In 2026
Popular charts based on rolling SP500 returns are fundamentally flawed due to the use of highly overlapping and non-independent samples. These flaws have provided very misleading signals in recent years and can be especially relevant for the next ~1–2 years.
Popular charts based on rolling SP500 returns are fundamentally flawed due to the use of highly overlapping and non-independent samples. These flaws have provided very misleading signals in recent years and can be especially relevant for the next ~1–2 years.